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Uterine cancer cases to surge 53 per cent

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Uterine cancer cases could rise by as much as 53 per cent by 2050, with diets high in junk food and obesity rates believed to be driving the increase.

Deaths from the disease are forecast to rise by between 83 and 98 per cent over the next 25 years among women aged 18 to 84.

The rate of increase is expected to outpace that of bowel cancer, which is growing by 2.4 per cent each year in under-50s but declining overall by about one per cent annually.

Meanwhile, average deaths from bowel cancer are seeing an annual decline of roughly 1 per cent – despite the rising toll of younger victims.

Dr Chris van Tulleken, expert in infectious disease and global health at University College London, said: “We have more than a dozen good quality studies indicating a link between cancer and ultra-processed foods.”

Black women are predicted to be disproportionately affected, with case numbers expected to climb by 53 per cent compared to 28.6 per cent in white women.

Deaths among black women could rise by 97.9 per cent, compared to 83.6 per cent in white women.

Researchers from Columbia University in the US built a model to help predict future rates of uterine cancer across the US.

The model was based on a population sample of women aged 18 to 84, who were born over the last 100 years.

They tracked disease incidence over the women’s lifetimes, including uterine cancer, and used annual increases in disease to project future diagnoses.

Lead author Dr Jason D Wright said the projections do not account for future advances in prevention or treatment that could reduce mortality.

The higher rates seen in black women may be linked to more aggressive forms of the disease and delays in diagnosis and treatment, according to scientists.

The overall increase is thought to be driven by obesity.

Cancer Research UK estimates that a third of womb cancer cases in the UK are linked to being overweight or obese.

Excess weight raises levels of hormones like fasting insulin and testosterone, which are known to encourage tumour growth in the uterus.

Obesity levels have doubled globally in both adults and children since 1990, with the rise in ultra-processed food consumption widely blamed.

These foods – such as cakes, crisps and ready meals – are typically high in calories, sugar, salt and fat, and usually include at least one ingredient not found in a standard kitchen.

Uterine cancer is the most common gynaecological cancer in high-income countries and the fourth most common among women in the UK. C

ancer Research UK estimates that 34 per cent of UK uterine cancer cases are preventable.

The researchers tested a screening scenario in which women were invited for checks to detect early signs of disease.

The approach was most effective when screening began at age 55, with rates of cancer falling for up to 15 years in white women and 16 years in black women.

Lead author of the study Dr Jason D Wright said: “The testing suggests that if there was an effective screening test, we may be able to substantially reduce the burden of disease.”

The findings come amid broader concerns about rising cancer rates in younger people.

Bowel cancer is increasing in under-50s in 27 of 50 countries studied, with England recording an average 3.6 per cent annual rise in younger adults.

Roughly 2 per cent yearly increases have also been reported in the US. Cancer Research UK figures show that diagnoses have risen by up to 23 per cent among people aged 20 to 49.

While the disease is known to be linked to obesity, experts note it also appears in fit and healthy patients.

News

Swab-based endometrial cancer test wins place in German national guideline

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WID-easy, the only non-invasive triage test for endometrial cancer in routine use in a European public health system, has been cited in Germany’s highest-tier clinical guidance; a marker that non-invasive detection is reaching clinical maturity.

The vaginal-swab test designed to spare women unnecessary invasive procedures has been referenced in the updated German S3 Guideline on Endometrial Cancer, its maker Sola Diagnostics has announced.

The Austria-based women’s-health diagnostics company behind the WID-easy Test, said the test now features in the recommendations-supporting background text of the guideline’s latest version (v4.0, May 2026; AWMF 032-034OL), in Section 4.3.

The S3 designation is the highest evidence- and consensus-based tier in the German clinical guideline system, broadly comparable in standing to NICE guidance in the UK, and is widely drawn on in clinical practice, reimbursement and liability assessments.

In Section 4.3, the guideline cites four peer-reviewed validation studies of the WID-easy Test and credits it with a sensitivity of more than 95 per cent and a negative predictive value of at least 99.7 per cent.

It describes a fall in invasive workup from 19 to two dilatation-and-curettage (D&C) procedures per cancer detected when compared with transvaginal ultrasound alone, assuming a realistic 3.4 per cent cancer prevalence in women with postmenopausal bleeding, and states that the test has the potential to improve the diagnostic workup of women with peri- and post-menopausal bleeding by cutting the rate of invasive procedures.

A growing burden, an imperfect standard

Endometrial cancer is the most common gynaecological cancer in high-income countries, and its incidence is rising, driven by ageing populations and increasing obesity, making it one of the fastest-growing cancer burdens in women’s health.

A number of groups are now developing non-invasive tests for earlier detection. The current standard, transvaginal ultrasound, is an imperfect triage tool: it misses serous carcinomas and performs especially poorly in black women, a group with disproportionately high endometrial-cancer mortality.

WID-easy has been validated prospectively across multiple cohorts, including a dedicated cohort of black women in Ghana (Ken-Amoah et al., 2025).

Adopted in routine care

WID-easy is the only endometrial-cancer triage test in Europe with real-world adoption in a public health system. It is UKCA-marked and in use across NHS pilot sites in England and Scotland, and is delivered through commercial laboratory partners across the DACH region of Austria, Germany and Switzerland. Its UK pivotal study, EASY-CARE, is funded by a competitively awarded NIHR i4i grant.

The postmenopausal bleeding pathway has been singled out for change across three UK Government strategy documents published in 2026 — the National Cancer Plan for England (DHSC), the renewed Women’s Health Strategy for England (DHSC) and the National HealthTech Access Programme (NICE).

The NICE initiative names speeding up access to better tools for detecting endometrial cancer in women with unexplained bleeding as one of only four priority areas.

WID-easy is the only non-invasive endometrial-cancer triage test that is UKCA-marked and commercially available for NHS use today, with no competing molecular test yet on the market.

“Seeing WID-easy referenced in a guideline of this standing confirms that the science behind non-invasive endometrial cancer detection has reached clinical maturity,” said Prof Martin Widschwendter, founder and member of the scientific advisory board at Sola Diagnostics.

“Our goal has always been to spare women unnecessary invasive procedures without missing the cancers that matter — and to do so equitably, across all populations.”

The WID-easy Test detects and triages endometrial cancer from a vaginal swab using DNA methylation. It is built on the WID-qEC biomarker, exclusively licensed from University College London Business and complemented by Sola’s own patent portfolio. The same methylation platform underpins a pipeline of further tests in cervical, ovarian and breast cancer.

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Vaccine could prevent some people from developing ovarian cancer

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A vaccine trial will test whether an mRNA jab can help stop precancerous cells developing into bowel and ovarian cancer in people with Lynch syndrome.

The first stage is due to launch this summer and will assess whether the jab can train the immune system to recognise and eliminate precancerous cells before cancer develops.

Around 175,000 people in England have Lynch syndrome, but only five per cent, or around 10,000 people, know they have it.

The inherited condition increases the risk of developing bowel cancer by 80 per cent and is linked to around 1,100 bowel cancer cases each year.

Lynch syndrome is also linked to a far higher risk of bowel, womb and ovarian cancer, alongside other types including stomach, pancreatic, kidney and skin cancer.

While the syndrome does not directly cause cancer, the genetic changes can lead to more abnormal cells developing, which then multiply and increase the risk of cancers such as bowel, prostate and endometrial cancer.

It is caused by an alteration in a mismatch repair gene. Carriers do not have any symptoms.

The new Intercept-Lynch trial is part of a scientific collaboration between the University of Oxford and Moderna, while Cancer Research UK has backed the vaccine’s development.

Once patients receive the new mRNA-4194 jab, experts will analyse their immune responses, assess the best dose and check whether the jab is safe.

The second phase of the study will include multiple centres across the UK, including Oxford, and is expected to begin in 2027.

The aim of the trial is to train the immune system with a vaccine to recognise abnormalities and stop them developing into cancer.

Professor David Church, Cancer Research UK senior cancer research fellow in the University of Oxford’s centre for human genetics and lead investigator of the trial, said: “People with Lynch syndrome are at risk of cancers over their entire lives.

“So, it’s very common, for instance, a woman to have a first cancer of her womb, and then some years later have a bowel cancer, or vice versa.

“The targets we’ve chosen for the vaccine were chosen based on their sharedness across multiple cancer types in Lynch syndrome, so we think they should provide broad protection, if the vaccine works.”

In people with Lynch syndrome, mutations can build up, making the cells containing them more likely to turn into cancerous cells.

However, those mutations can be made visible to the immune system and, with enough stimulation, the immune system can attack the abnormal cells and stop cancer from forming.

Professor Church said the mRNA jab acts as “an instruction manual” for the body to attack precancerous cells.

He added that, as with many vaccines, patients may need a booster jab at some stage.

On whether similar approaches could help prevent cancers not caused by Lynch syndrome, Professor Church said: “In terms of proof of principle that we can train the immune system to recognise these cancer-associated alterations and enhance the immune response against them to prevent these pre-cancers or prevent the progression of pre-cancer to cancer, that proof of principle should give us insights that are generalisable.”

David Berman, chief development officer at Moderna, said: “By applying mRNA technology earlier in the patient journey, we aim to harness the immune system when it can have the greatest impact.

“We are proud to bring this innovation to the UK, building on our long-standing collaboration with leading UK institutions to advance mRNA research and development.”

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Lymph nodes could reveal who’s most at risk of breast cancer spreading

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Changes in lymph nodes may help show which breast cancer patients face higher or lower risk of the disease spreading, researchers have found.

The findings could support more tailored care, new treatments and help more people avoid unnecessary treatment.

Dr Simon Vincent is chief scientific officer at Breast Cancer Now, which funded the research:

He said: “These findings suggest that changes to the structure of the lymph nodes are more than just a consequence of the cancer. They can also play an active role in helping breast cancer progress.

“With one person tragically dying from breast cancer every 45 minutes in the UK, we urgently need research like this so that we can better understand who is most at risk of their cancer progressing and becoming incurable. Only then we can find ways to stop it.

“With a better understanding of how lymph nodes change as breast cancer spreads, we could find new targets for future treatments for types of breast cancer that are harder to treat.”

Lymph nodes, a key part of the immune system, help the body fight infections and cancer. In breast cancer, the lymph nodes in the armpit are often the first place the disease spreads to.

At the moment, everyone with invasive breast cancer has to undergo surgery to remove lymph nodes so doctors can check for cancer cells.

Invasive breast cancer means cancer that has spread beyond where it first developed in the breast into nearby tissue.

While this is effective, it can lead to long-term side effects such as swelling of the arm, known as lymphoedema, and may be unnecessary for some patients, particularly those with early-stage disease or those whose cancer responds well to treatment.

The study analysed 331 lymph node samples from people with different types of breast cancer and compared them with healthy lymph nodes from people free from the disease.

It found that breast cancer could change the structure of a network that supports the lymph nodes.

Crucially, some of these changes could occur before doctors were able to spot any cancer cells in the network.

Some changes were linked to a better chance of survival, while others were associated with a poorer prognosis.

Dr Amy Llewellyn and Dr Kalnisha Naidoo from King’s College London, together with professor Sophie Acton at University College London, compared the 331 samples with healthy lymph nodes in people free from the disease.

They looked at fibroblastic reticular cells, known as FRCs, a group of cells in lymph nodes that provide their structure, control fluid flow and activate different immune cells.

The study showed that the structure of this FRC network could change before the cancer had spread and differed depending on the type of breast cancer, any spread and whether someone had received chemotherapy.

Chemotherapy uses medicines to kill cancer cells or slow their growth.

The researchers said the findings could help doctors better understand who is most at risk of breast cancer spreading.

Dr Llewellyn said the first large-scale analysis of FRC in human lymph node tissue from breast cancer patients was addressing the “urgent need” for a better understanding of the area’s biology.

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