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Researchers develop AI tool to predict side-effects in breast cancer patients

The tool is hoped to help breast cancer patients access more personalised care

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An international team of researchers has developed an AI tool that can predict which breast cancer patients may be at risk of side-effects after surgery and radiotherapy.

The technology, developed by a research team led by the University of Leicester, will be tested later this year in a clinical trial in the UK, France and Netherlands and is hoped to help patients access more personalised care.

Two million women globally are diagnosed with breast cancer every year, which is the most common cancer in females in most countries.

Greater awareness, earlier detection and a wider range of treatment options have improved survival rates, but many patients experience side-effects after treatment.

Some of the factors that increase the risk of side-effects are already know, but the research project aims to make more accurate predictions for each individual patient, as well as providing understandable explanations for doctors and patients.

“The explainable AI tool shows the reasoning behind its decision-making so it’s easier not only for doctors to make decisions, but also to provide data-backed explanations to their patients,” explained Dr Tim Rattay, a consultant breast surgeon and associate professor at the University’s Leicester Cancer Research Centre.

“Thankfully, long-term survival rates from breast cancer continue to increase, but for some patients, this means having to live with the side-effects of their treatment, including skin changes, scarring, lymphoedema, which is a painful swelling of the arm, and even heart damage from radiation treatment.

“That’s why we’ve developed an AI tool to inform doctors and patients about the risk of chronic arm swelling after surgery and radiotherapy for breast cancer. We hope this will assist doctors and patients in choosing options for radiation treatment and reduce side effects for all patients.”

The researchers used information from European datasets on 6,361 breast cancer patients to train different machine learning algorithms to predict arm swelling up to three years after surgery and radiotherapy.

The AI tool correctly predicted lymphoedema in an average of 81.6 per cent of cases and correctly identified patients who would not develop it in an average of 72.9 per cent of cases. The overall predictive accuracy of the model was 73.4 per cent.

Dr Rattay said patients identified at higher risk of arm swelling could be offered additional supportive measures, such as wearing an arm compression sleeve during treatment, which has been shown to reduce arm swelling in the long-term.

“Clinicians may also use this information to discuss options for lymph node irradiation in patients, where its benefit may be fairly borderline,” he said.

“We will test the effect of the prediction model on clinician and patient behaviour and use of the prophylactic arm sleeve in the proposed clinical trial.”

The team, Rattay said, will incorporate the current AI model into software that can provide evaluations and predictions to doctors and patients. This will be tested when the clinical trial starts later this year.

They hope to enrol 780 patients as part of a clinical trial, called the Pre-Act project, who will be followed up for a period of two years. They are also developing the tool further so that it can predict other side effects, such as skin and heart damage.

Dr Guido Bologna, associate professor at the University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Western Switzerland in Geneva, and co-investigator on the project, said: “The final, best-performing model makes predictions using 32 different patient and treatment features, including whether or not patients had chemotherapy, whether sentinel lymph node biopsy under the armpit was carried out, and the type of radiotherapy given.”

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Insight

Drug turns off ‘master switch’ in aggressive breast cancer

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A drug targeting a key regulator in triple-negative breast cancer reduced tumour growth and cancer stem cell viability in laboratory models.

Triple-negative breast cancer is an aggressive subtype that disproportionately affects women under 40 and accounts for about 15 to 20 per cent of breast cancers.

The disease lacks receptors for oestrogen, progesterone and the HER2 protein, which are targeted by several cancer drugs, making it particularly difficult to treat.

Researchers from the National University of Singapore’s Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine investigated mechanisms that allow triple-negative breast cancer cells to spread and resist treatment.

They examined regulators of Wnt signalling, a pathway involved in processes including cell growth and movement, and identified a master regulator called DP103.

DP103 is a gene that controls a major biological process. The researchers found it creates a cycle in which cancer cells continue to grow and spread while resisting treatment and maintaining cancer stem cells linked to disease recurrence.

The team then investigated whether a targeted drug known as Supinoxin, or RX-5902, could block DP103 and its effects in triple-negative breast cancer.

Analysis of 21 samples, including patient tumour tissue, laboratory-grown breast cancer cells and organoids derived from local cancer patients, found that the drug reduced cancer stem cell viability by 40 to 60 per cent.

Tumour growth in laboratory-grown tumour models fell by about 50 per cent.

In laboratory models, treatment also reduced tumour size by around 90 per cent while largely sparing healthy cells.

It also extended survival, with half of the treated laboratory models reaching 70 days and beyond, compared with none in the untreated group.

DP103 had previously been identified as a biomarker for triple-negative breast cancer by a team led by Alan Prem Kumar, an assistant professor with the NUS Centre for Cancer Research and principal investigator for the new study.

RX-5902 is already being studied as a treatment for breast cancer, and Kumar said the findings could help identify patients who may be more likely to benefit.

“Our findings suggest that DP103 could potentially serve as a diagnostic biomarker to identify the patients most likely to benefit from RX-5902 treatment, paving the way for a more precise, personalised approach to treating triple-negative breast cancer,” he said.

“Instead of treating all patients the same, future clinical trials could focus on those whose tumours have high levels of DP103, where the therapy is expected to have the greatest impact,” said Kumar.

First author Cai Wanpei said RX-5902 could prevent beta-catenin, a protein whose mutation is associated with various cancers, from entering the nucleus of human cells and switching off genes that drive cancer growth and spread.

“This slows tumour progression and triggers apoptosis – the natural death of cancer cells,” said Cai, who was a PhD student at the NUS Centre for Cancer Research and NUS Medicine’s pharmacology department during the research.

Study co-author Celestial T. Yap said triple-negative breast cancer remains particularly difficult to treat because conventional treatments such as surgery, chemotherapy and immunotherapy may not work for all patients.

She said DP103 could represent a “biological vulnerability” in the disease.

“This discovery offers new insights that could support more precise patient selection and open the door to better targeted strategies for durable disease control and improved clinical outcomes,” said Yap, an associate professor with the NUS Centre for Cancer Research and NUS Medicine’s physiology department.

The researchers said abnormal Wnt signalling also drives several other cancers, meaning the findings could offer avenues for treating other aggressive cancers.

Their next steps include validating DP103 as a predictive biomarker in larger patient groups and further developing therapies targeting the regulator for clinical testing.

The team will also investigate combining RX-5902 with existing therapies to further improve treatment outcomes.

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Federal gov should fund drug to treat breast cancer and endometriosis, Aus committee says

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Australia’s drug advisory committee has recommended wider funding of triptorelin for women with breast cancer or endometriosis.

The recommendation comes after AstraZeneca announced plans to remove Zoladex from the market, risking leaving more than 7,500 women with breast cancer without an alternative treatment.

Both medicines block the release of oestrogen and testosterone and can be used as part of treatment, or for fertility preservation, in some forms of cancer.

The Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee met urgently in July and recommended making triptorelin unrestricted under the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS), which would mean it was funded for all uses.

The drug has been listed on the PBS for prostate cancer since 2006.

Triptorelin and Zoladex can also be used to treat endometriosis and to block puberty for either precocious puberty or gender-affirming care.

Vicki Durston, director of policy and advocacy at Breast Cancer Network Australia, described the recommendation as “a significant step forward” and said access to the medicine could mean the difference between life and death for some patients.

She said some women had already chosen to have their ovaries removed because of uncertainty over Zoladex supplies.

Marilla Druitt, Victorian state chair of the Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists, said it remained unclear whether triptorelin would work exactly the same way as Zoladex, but the recommendation was likely to be positive for patients with endometriosis and pelvic pain.

She said: “I’m glad we’ve got an alternative.”

“That’s fantastic, and it remains to be seen whether or not it will be as good, but pain is so complex, pain is a really hard thing to study because it’s got so many contributors.”

Druitt said further research would be needed after the medicine was introduced.

If accepted by the federal government, the recommendation would also allow PBS funding of triptorelin for puberty suppression in precocious puberty and gender-affirming care.

This would make gender-affirming care federally funded through the PBS for the first time and would remove a financial barrier for transgender children in Queensland and the Northern Territory.

Stuart Aitken, medical director of Gender Health Australia, said the recommendation had sparked “absolute joy” among his patients.

He said: “It takes away a huge barrier to accessing evidence-based care.”

“It means that the ban has a very limited effect.”

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Insight

Benchmarking 2027: Shifting priorities in US health infrastructure

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By Women’s HealthX

As healthcare organisations navigate tightening compliance mandates, evolving reimbursement frameworks, and shifting health economics, the single most critical asset for leadership is operational visibility into what their industry counterparts are executing right now.

Ahead of the Women’s HealthX marketplace in Boston this December, a cross-functional steering committee of health plans, hospital networks, biopharma innovators, and enterprise employers has launched the definitive 2026 U.S. Health Infrastructure Survey.

The objective of this brief, multi-state index is to bypass abstract market fluff and map out exactly how the country’s elite healthcare stakeholders are practically structuring their 2027 budgets, clinical protocols, and technology procurement guidelines.

Some of the questions we are asking:

  • Health Plans & Payers “What is the biggest operational barrier to expanding women’s health coverage?”
  • Health Systems & Providers “What is the biggest women’s health priority for health systems over the next 24 months?”
  • Pharma & Life Sciences “What is the biggest commercial hurdle facing women’s health innovation?”
  • Employers & Benefits Leaders “Which women’s health challenge creates the greatest workforce impact?”

By contributing just 60 seconds of your operational insight to the index, you will ensure your specific sector’s parameters are accurately represented.

In return for your participation, you will secure a priority, pre-ordered copy of the completed 30-page intelligence report when the final data drops this September!

See where your direct peer groups are drawing their line in the sand for the upcoming fiscal year.

Contribute 60 seconds and pre-order your national benchmark report

Women’s HealthX 2026 | From Rhetoric to Results

Encore Boston Harbor | December 3-4 2026

Bypass abstract market rhetoric to evaluate real-world health economics, regulatory compliance mandates, and care delivery systems.

Join the region’s foremost health plan medical directors, hospital COOs, biopharma innovators, and enterprise benefits buyers anchoring our 2026 tracks.

Review full agenda

Meet confirmed speakers

Secure your pass

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